Friday, May 7, 2010

Two New Polls Show Florida Gov. Charlie Crist Would Win Senate Election

Two new polls show that Florida Governor Charlie Crist would win a 3-way election for US Senate. Rasmussen has the unaffiliated Crist ahead of  Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Kendrick Meek with 38% of the vote, compared to 34% for Rubio and 17% for Meek.  A Mason-Dixon poll has similar results, with Crist getting 38%, Rubio 32% and Meek 19%. 

Last month, before Crist announced his separation from the Republican Party, a Quinniapiac poll predicted that he would win a 3-way contest. A Rasmussen poll, however, gave Rubio the lead.

These numbers are most disturbing for Democrats. Meek trails badly in all of the recent polls, and Crist continues to get more attention than all of the candidates. The political rumor mill is already asserting that Democratic leaders will quietly back Crist if Meek cannot turn the tide. Because of his moderate-to-liberal positions, Crist will likely steal more Democratic (rather than Republican) votes.

I suspect that Florida and national Republican leaders, however, will continue bashing Crist. Why? He is clearly a political threat.


Sue said...

If Meek had no chance of winning to begin with then I'm glad to see Crist beating Rubio, I hope he wins.

Darren Lenard Hutchinson said...

Hey, Sue! Good to see you. I have been so swamped with "end of semester" activities.

Anyway, I grew up in Florida, and I am happy to see that the state is open to picking Crist over Rubio. I agree with your point.

Meek has several factors against him. First, he is virtually unknown. Second, he is unknown and unable to make a splash to get name recognition. Things will change, I suspect, but right now, I predict Crist. I would probably vote for him if I lived in Florida. But in order to get the full sense of what long-time but practical Dems would do, I need to call my parents.

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