Wednesday, February 10, 2010

Earth to Conservatives: The Harsh Winter Does Not Disprove "Global Warming"

Conservative media and politicians are having fun showing how ignorant they are of science and basic statistical concepts. It seems that many of them mistakenly believe that record-breaking snowfalls in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast disprove the concept of global warming.

Earth to Conservatives
The science behind global warming observes that the average temperature on the entire planet has increased and that this increase results from the emission of greenhouse gases. Average global temperatures include localized and annual deviations from that norm. All "averages" include deviations.

Hence, the harshness of winter 2000-2010 in the eastern United States proves NOTHING with respect to global warming. Perhaps conservatives oppose climate control measures because they do not even understand what global warming actually means!

Media Matters has spent much more time debunking this ignorance than I care to do. Here's the link: Brain Freeze: Conservative media still using winter weather to attack global warming.

Update: Some experts believe that harsher winters are in fact a sign of global warming. See: Snowstorm: East Coast Blizzard Tied to Climate Change.


Sue said...

Darren the right doesn't know what global warming means. I have a picture of our snowfall posted and a little paragraph about GW and a commenter laughed his ass off about it. He won't even LISTEN to facts. No use beating a dead horse...

Darren Lenard Hutchinson said...

Yeah, just bury the poor dead horse.

Matt P. said...

You both must work for the IPCC. LOL

Mark Kollasch said...

As I have seen, only experts really know what global warming means, which, democratically, essentially means nobody knows. Conservatives are pleased, hence jocular, because they recognize that it will be harder for liberals to get moderates to care about global warming when they're snowed in. Their feelings of vindication are not ontological but political in nature.

Darren Lenard Hutchinson said...

Mark: Feeling vindicated over a cold winter in this setting is the same as saying we don't need to worry about cancer because patients sometimes go into remission. Conservatives are jocular out of ignorance.

Matt: My cover is blown! :)

Matt P. said...

What is good for the goose is good for the gander. People who aren't "experts" should stay out of this topic. And people who claim to be experts better be able to prove their scientific facts. Here is a famous non-expert who looks like an idiot. RFK, JR. last year:

In Virginia, the weather also has changed dramatically. Recently arrived residents in the northern suburbs, accustomed to today's anemic winters, might find it astonishing to learn that there were once ski runs on Ballantrae Hill in McLean, with a rope tow and local ski club. Snow is so scarce today that most Virginia children probably don't own a sled. But neighbors came to our home at Hickory Hill nearly every winter weekend to ride saucers and Flexible Flyers.

In those days, I recall my uncle, President Kennedy, standing erect as he rode a toboggan in his top coat, never faltering until he slid into the boxwood at the bottom of the hill. Once, my father, Atty. Gen. Robert Kennedy, brought a delegation of visiting Eskimos home from the Justice Department for lunch at our house. They spent the afternoon building a great igloo in the deep snow in our backyard. My brothers and sisters played in the structure for several weeks before it began to melt. On weekend afternoons, we commonly joined hundreds of Georgetown residents for ice skating on Washington's C&O Canal, which these days rarely freezes enough to safely skate.

Meanwhile, Exxon Mobil and its carbon cronies continue to pour money into think tanks whose purpose is to deceive the American public into believing that global warming is a fantasy.

Read more at the San Francisco Examiner:

Darren Lenard Hutchinson said...

Matt P: I do not believe that anecdotal evidence works in either direction.

PS: Not setting off that quote caused a problem when I got to this line: "I recall my uncle, President Kennedy. . . ." I was ready to dismiss you as a fraud! :)

A Conservative Teacher said...

Does the lack of warming over the past 15 years disprove global warming? That's the latest news, boys and girls- there has been no warming of the globe since 1985, and the globe was warmer than it is today during the medieval time period.

At one point do you all abandon your religion and cease your worship of the Green God? Or is it all a matter of faith now, and no amount of data or evidence will persuade you otherwise?

Darren Lenard Hutchinson said...

CT: Relying on one scientist -- whom you probably blasted a few years ago -- is not good science. I read the article before you even referenced it by distorting its findings.

Matt P. said...

Darren your response is nonsensical. Phil Jones is not just "one scientist." He is/was a leader in the global warming movement. Whether Conservative Teacher blasted him in the past a few years ago or not means exactly what? I guess it means Teach was right and Jones didn't have the proof he claimed to have.

I'll tell you what isn't good science, demeaning and ridiculing those who challenge your theories by calling them "deniers" or alleging they are in the pockets of fossil fuel companies or whatever. That is what has been going on for the past decade plus.

Good science is challenging assumptions, asking for facts and putting them to the test. You know...being skeptical.

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