If the constant movement in the polls has you confused, you are not alone. Every time I hear McCain saying that he will win, or that his campaign is exactly where it needs to be, I think he is foolishly channeling Rudy Giuliani. But maybe he is only reading the few polls that favor him. Today's Rasmussen poll has the race within 5 points, while GWU is within 3 points. Today's Hotline poll has Obama up 12 points, while Daily Kos has him 8 points ahead. For most of last week, Obama had a pretty sizable lead. For more extensive coverage and debate, see Pollster.Com.